🇧🇷 Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Quaest Poll Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Tied at 41
Source-grounded briefGenerated from retrievable publisher evidence and checked against the linked source.
The latest Quaest poll shows a tied runoff between Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro at 41%, with Lula leading in the first round at 37%.
What happened
A new Genial/Quaest poll of 2,004 voters found Lula at 37% and Flávio Bolsonaro at 33% in the first round, with the runoff simulation tied at 41% each. This reverses Quaest's previous reading, which had shown Flávio Bolsonaro numerically ahead in a runoff. The margin of error is two points.
Why it matters
The tied runoff reading a week before the vote suggests volatility in the election outcome, making a second round on October 25 probable.
Key facts
- Lula 37%
- Flávio Bolsonaro 33% in the first round
- Runoff simulation tied at 41% each
- Quaest interviewed 2,004 voters between September 24-27
- Margin of error is two points.
Publisher evidence used
Reporting attributed to riotimesonline.com. WorldLeadersNews links readers to the publisher and does not present a headline-only item as a full article analysis.
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